Weekly macro intelligence covering economic data, Fed policy, credit markets, and fiscal signals. Free every Sunday.
Weekly SitRep
+6
Aug 3, 2026
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8 min read
A reflation regime thirteen weeks old, a 30-year yield at a nineteen-year high, and a CPI print on August 12 that settles the argument.
Jul 27, 2026
9 min read
A reflation regime twelve weeks old, a front end at a seventeen-month high, and a tariff schedule that just became permanent.
Jul 20, 2026
6 min read
A reflation regime eleven weeks old, a runner-up that just flipped to disinflation, and a 30-year yield through 5 percent.
Jul 13, 2026
A regime nine weeks old, a 30-year yield walking toward 5 percent, and a valuation with no cushion left.
Jul 6, 2026
A labor market that just stumbled, an inflation backdrop that hasn't, and a market setting records while it buys protection.
Jun 29, 2026
A hot PCE print, a fraying oil truce, and the AI memory tax reaching consumers.
+5
Jun 22, 2026
A hawkish Fed, an oil truce already fraying, and a market still pricing calm.
Jun 15, 2026
7 min read
The market booked relief the physical market can't deliver for months.
Jun 8, 2026
Payrolls doubled the forecast, and the curve flipped to a hike by December.
Jun 1, 2026
First negative equity risk premium since the dot-com era, and insiders kept selling.
May 25, 2026
Hottest PCE on record. One page in Pakistan decides Q3.
May 18, 2026
Inflation at all-time highs. Warsh just took the chair.
+8
May 11, 2026
Reflation at 88%. The most decisive regime call since the system went live.
+7
Apr 27, 2026
Weekend Iran talks, April 30 GDP + PCE, mega-cap earnings, and Powell's last FOMC. All in ten days.
+4
Apr 20, 2026
The IRGC reopened fire. The market didn't flinch. Something has to give.
+2
Apr 13, 2026
11 min read
CPI at 3.3%. Hormuz still closed. The market priced in a deal that just died.
Apr 6, 2026
10 min read
Gold at extremes. Equities at all-time lows. The rotation is decisive.
Mar 30, 2026
Credit, housing, and funding markets all flashing at once.
Mar 22, 2026
March 22, 2026
